Posts Tagged ‘pro football trends’

2010 NFL Trends: Week 5 Cheat Sheet

October 9th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2010 NFL Trends: Week 5 Cheat Sheet
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Week 5 of the NFL season is right around the corner! The handicapping experts of Bankroll Sports have key releases for you this weekend. Props and free picks will be available to you on our sports blog as well. However, to kick off this NFL betting week, we’re going to take a look at the most important NFL trends and matchup histories for the Week 5 NFL matchups.

Sunday, October 10th, 1:00 ET: Atlanta Falcons @ Cleveland Browns
NFL Trends of Note
Atlanta is 6-2 ATS in its L/8 overall
Cleveland is 9-1 ATS in its L/10 in October
The Browns are 7-2 ATS in their L/9 played on grass

Series History
These teams have only met twice in Cleveland’s brief history, and the Browns have dominated. Cleveland stole a 17-13 victory at the Georgia Dome in 2006 and won 24-16 in 2002. Even in the one preseason tussle that these teams played in 2003, Cleveland took a 20-9 win. All three games have gone ‘under’ the ‘total’, while the Browns have covered all three NFL lines.

Sunday, October 10th, 1:00 PM ET: Denver Broncos @ Baltimore Ravens
NFL Trends of Note
The Broncos are 7-3 ATS in their L/10 following an SU win
The Ravens are 42-18-1 ATS in their L/61 as home favorites
Baltimore is 5-2 ATS in its L/7 as a home favorite of between 3.5 and 10 points

Series History
The Broncos are just 1-6-1 ATS in the L/8 meetings in this series. Baltimore won 30-7 last year in this fixture. The home team has won five straight dating back to 2002 and eight out of nine since 1994. Four straight and six out of seven have stayed ‘under’ the ‘total’. The road team has only scored a grand total of 26 points in the L/4 meetings of these powerhouses, but the home team has only eclipsed 13 points once in the L/3.

Sunday, October 10th, 1:00 PM ET: New York Giants @ Houston Texans
NFL Trends of Note
The Giants are 1-7 ATS in their L/8 played on grass
New York is 2-8 ATS in its L/10 against teams with a winning record
Houston has gone 5-1-1 ATS in its L/7

Series History
The Texans have only been around long enough to face the Giants twice in their lives, and this is just the second trip to Reliant Stadium ever. The home team has won both meetings, but the Texans have dominated the ATS proceedings. Houston is 2-0 ATS, with both clashes coming as underdogs. The Giants won 14-10 in the one duel in the Meadowlands, while Houston won 16-14 at home. Obviously, both meetings stayed well ‘under’ the ‘total’.

Sunday, October 10th, 1:00 PM ET: Chicago Bears @ Carolina Panthers
NFL Trends of Note
The Bears are 2-7 ATS in their L/9 on grass
Carolina is 8-1 ATS in its L/9 against teams with winning records
The Bears are 4-2 ATS in their L/6

Series History
There have only been five clashes of these teams in Panthers history, including one meeting in the postseason. Carolina won that day 29-21 in the Windy City, and that was the only time a road team ever won a game in this series. The underdog has only failed to cover one spread, with that coming in 2005 in favor of the Bears. That also happens to be the only time since 1995 that the men from the Windy City have won a game against the Panthers.

Sunday, October 10th, 1:00 PM ET: St. Louis Rams @ Detroit Lions
NFL Trends of Note
The Rams are 7-3 ATS in their L/10 against teams with losing record
The Lions are just 5-13 ATS in their L/18 games played at Ford Field.
St. Louis has covered back to back in this series

Series History
The only win for the Rams last year came against these Lions at this venue. St. Louis captured a 17-10 decision. The meeting prior to that was also in favor of the Rams, a 41-34 win at the Edward Jones Dome. That was actually the only meeting in St. Louis since 1993, as the other five since that point were played in the Motor City.

Sunday, October 10th, 1:00 PM ET: Green Bay Packers @ Washington Redskins
NFL Trends of Note
Green Bay is 9-3-1 ATS in its L/13 overall
The Packers are 8-3-1 ATS in their L/12 on grass
The Redskins are 8-2 ATS in their L/10 played in Week 5

Series History
Since the mid 1980s, this series has just belonged to the Pack. Green Bay had gone 4-0 SU from 2001 to 2007, and the previous meeting before that was back in 1988. The Packers have only made one trek to our nation’s capitol in that stretch as well. Green Bay is 5-0-1 ATS since 1986 in this series. The ‘under’ has gone 5-1 in those six clashes. The ‘Skins were dropped 17-14 at Lambeau Field in the last encounter in 2007.

Sunday, October 10th, 1:00 PM ET: Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Cincinnati Bengals
NFL Trends of Note
The Bucs have covered three straight in this series
Cincinnati is 3-9 ATS in its L/12 overall
The Bengals are 8-3 ATS in their L/11 against teams with a winning record

Series History
The Bucs captured a 14-13 decision in 2006 at Raymond James Stadium, but the last trip to Cincinnati was also a grand one. Tampa Bay won 35-7 in its glory days in 2002. Five of the L/6 between these rivals have stayed ‘under’ the ‘total’, with the one exception being that 2002 clash. The losing team in this series hasn’t scored more than 16 points in a game since 1989.

Sunday, October 10th, 1:00 PM ET: Kansas City Chiefs @ Indianapolis Colts
NFL Trends of Note
The Colts are 6-1-1 ATS in their L/8 against teams with a winning record
Indianapolis is 10-3 ATS in its L/13 played in October
Kansas City is just 2-7 ATS in its L/9 against the Colts

Series History
Kansas City’s only win in this series since the 1980s came in 2004 with a 45-35 victory at Arrowhead Stadium. Indy has held the Chiefs to just 18 total points in two meetings since that point in two games at the old RCA Dome. One of those games was a postseason clash in January 2007.

Sunday, October 10th, 1:00 PM ET: Jacksonville Jaguars @ Buffalo Bills
NFL Trends of Note
Jacksonville is 4-12 ATS in its L/16 overall
Buffalo is 3-7 ATS in its L/10 played in Week 5
The Bills are 3-10 ATS in their L/13 played on turf

Series History
The Jaguars certainly love playing in Ralph Wilson Stadium, as this will always be the home of their first postseason win in 1996. Since that point though, the Bills have really done a nice job. Buffalo nearly won last year in the Sunshine State, dropping 18-15, but the fact that it covered the spread marked its sixth cover in its L/8 since that playoff defeat at home in ’96. The L/2 have gone ‘under’ the ‘total’ with ease.

Sunday, October 10th, 4:05 PM ET: New Orleans Saints @ Arizona Cardinals
NFL Trends of Note
The Saints are just 2-9 ATS in their L/11 against NFC opponents
New Orleans is 3-9 ATS in its L/12 overall
The Cards are 7-1 ATS in their L/8 played in October

Series History
The Saints destroyed Arizona last year in the postseason 45-14 at home, marking the second straight win in the Superdome for them against the Redbirds. The Cards scored a 2004 win here in the desert by the count of 34-10, marking its only cover in this series since 1996. You have to go back into the 1980s to find the previous time in which they covered a spread at home against the men in black and gold. Three straight have eclipsed the ‘total’.

Sunday, October 10th, 4:15 PM ET: San Diego Chargers @ Oakland Raiders
NFL Trends of Note
The Bolts are 18-8 ATS in their L/26 games played in October
Oakland is winless over the L/4 seasons both SU and ATS in Week 5
The Raiders are 15-36 ATS in their L/51 home games

Series History
These two divisional foes hate each other, and for good reason. The silver and black haven’t won a game since 2003, a stretch of 12 straight games. The Raiders did cover both numbers last year, losing 24-16 on the road and 24-20 at home. The Chargers had covered seven of the previous eight and are now 11-3 ATS in their L/14 clashes overall. The Bolts are 7-1 ATS in their L/8 trips to Oakland Alameda County Coliseum.

Sunday, October 10th, 4:15 PM ET: Tennessee Titans @ Dallas Cowboys
NFL Trends of Note
The Titans are 18-8 ATS in their L/26 as underdogs
Dallas has covered five of its L/6 following a bye week
The Cowboys are 2-5 ATS in their L/7 played in October

Series History
The Titans haven’t found their way to Victory Lane against the Cowboys since 2000 on Christmas Day, and the last time that they won a game in Dallas was in 1997. The boys from the Lone Star State smacked Tennessee around 45-14 in the last encounter at Adelphia Coliseum. The L/3 have eclipsed the ‘total’, but that includes a pair of preseason tussles.

Sunday, October 10th, 8:20 PM ET: Philadelphia Eagles @ San Francisco 49ers
NFL Trends of Note
The Eagles are 11-4 ATS in their L/15 as road underdogs
Philly is 0-5 ATS in its L/5 against the NFC
San Fran is 5-1-1 ATS in its L/7 after an SU defeat

Series History
It’s been Philly, Philly, and more Philly in this series of late, as the Eagles have captured four straight against the Niners both SU and ATS, including a 27-13 decision last December in the City of Brotherly Love. The Niners haven’t won a home game either SU or ATS against Philadelphia since 2001. Last year’s ‘under’ clash marked the first time a game in this series stayed ‘under’ the ‘total’ since 2001, a stretch of five straight ‘overs’.

Monday, October 11th, 8:30 PM ET: Minnesota Vikings @ New York Jets
NFL Trends of Note
The Jets are 3-10 ATS in their L/13 played in October
New York is 7-2 ATS in its L/9 overall
The Vikes are just 0-5 ATS in the regular season against the Jets since 1994

Series History
As you can see, this series has been all one way traffic for the men in green. The last encounter came in 2006, with the Jets topping the Vikes 26-13 at the Metrodome. Minnesota isn’t even winning games in this series SU when they’re favored, just like in 2006. Though two of the L/3 have stayed ‘under’ the ‘total’, the previous three had all gone ‘over’. The Vikes have never scored more than 21 points in a game against the Jets.

NFL Football Picks: Monday Night Football Props (10/4/10)

October 3rd, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in General Handicapping   Comments Off on NFL Football Picks: Monday Night Football Props (10/4/10)
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If you’re a fan of good old fashioned hard hitting football between two teams that just don’t like each other, this is the game for you! The Miami Dolphins and New England Patriots are sure to put on a real show on MNF this week, as they meet at Sun Life Stadium in a game that is absolutely crucial for both teams involved. Check out some of the NFL props for the game that we are keying in on to try to make you some great cash on the action!

Will there be a score in the first 6 1/2 minutes of the game?
Normally speaking, this prop would be set at 7:30, not 6:30, but due to the fact that this is the highest NFL betting ‘total’ on the board in Week 4, the number has come down just a tad. It won’t matter. The Dolphins now know that they can stretch the field quite a bit on the Pats, who seem to be relatively helpless defensive right now. With WR Brandon Marshall being used as an inviting target, big plays are very, very possible. We already know that the Brady Bunch has the top scoring offense in the game at 30.0 points per game, as QB Tom Brady and WR Randy Moss can hook up for a TD pass from anywhere on the field. Yes, there absolutely will be a score in the first 6:30 (-120 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Monday Night Football.

Ronnie Brown Over/Under 65.5 Rushing Yards
Something is wrong with RB Ricky Williams right now. He doesn’t have a single carry this year for more than eight yards, and the end result might be more weight put onto the shoulders of RB Ronnie Brown. Brown is averaging well more than two yards per carry more than Williams is this year, and the defense on the other side of the field isn’t exactly known for its ability to stop the run, especially if you can bounce the ball outside and away from DT Vince Wilfork. Remember the MNF game last year when the Fins absolutely dominated time of possession against the Indianapolis Colts to try to keep QB Peyton Manning off the field? HC Tony Sparano knows that that would be a fantastic game plan to use on Monday night. Go with Brown Over 65.5 rushing yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Randy Moss Total Receptions Over/Under 4.5
Normally, it seems like a bit of a slam dunk for Moss to go ‘over’ this type of a number, but perhaps that shouldn’t be considered the case anymore. He only has nine total receptions on the season, and that’s due to the emergence of men like WR Julian Edelman, TE Rob Gronkowski, and TE Aaron Hernandez. Plus, age really isn’t helping Moss out any, as he is spending more and more plays on the sidelines when he isn’t being utilized. The Dolphins know that Moss is still a lethal deep threat though, and he is going to be a force to be reckoned with. Will Moss get his big play or two over the course of the game? Probably. However, especially if Miami does a great job of protecting the football, we have a hard time figuring how he is going to be getting to five receptions on the day unless he is really force fed the ball. That’s not a necessity for Brady and the offense anymore at this point in Moss’ career. Go with good ol’ Randy Under 4.5 Receptions (-120 at Hollywood Sportsbook) in this battle against the Dolphins.

2010 NFL Trends: Week 4 Cheat Sheet

October 1st, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2010 NFL Trends: Week 4 Cheat Sheet
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Week 4 of the NFL season is right around the corner! The handicapping experts of Bankroll Sports have key releases for you this weekend. Props and free picks will be available to you on our sports blog as well. However, to kick off this NFL betting week, we’re going to take a look at the most important NFL trends and matchup histories for the Week 4 NFL matchups.

Sunday, October 3rd, 1:00 ET: Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers
NFL Trends of Note
The Packers are just 9-2-1 ATS in their L/12 overall
Detroit is 1-6-1 ATS in its L/8 in division
The Lions are 2-6-2 ATS in their L/10 roadies

Series History
Green Bay has simply dominated this series, winning every game dating back to the first clash in 2005, a stretch of nine straight overall. In that run, Detroit has only covered two spreads, with the most recent cover coming at Lambeau Field in December 2008. The Pack have averaged 35.0 PPG over their L/6 with Detroit and haven’t scored less than 26 points in a game in that stretch.

Sunday, October 3rd, 1:00 PM ET: Carolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints
NFL Trends of Note
Carolina is 7-1 ATS in its L/8 against teams with a winning record
The Saints are 2-7 ATS in their L/9 as favorites
New Orleans is 2-6 ATS in its L/8 played on field turf

Series History
Carolina has actually won all but two of the L/9 meetings dating back to 2005. Last season’s was a Panthers ATS sweep, as there was no issue knocking off either NFL spread over the course of the year. Carolina has four straight ATS under its belt against the Saints and is 7-2 ATS over the L/9 ATS as well as SU. The L/2 meetings went ‘under’ the ‘total’, while five of the L/6 have failed to reach the number.

Sunday, October 3rd, 1:00 PM ET: Denver Broncos @ Tennessee Titans
NFL Trends of Note
Denver has covered three straight against the Titans overall
Tennessee is 2-10 ATS in its L/12 years in Week 4
The Titans are 10-4 ATS in their L/14 against teams with losing records

Series History
As we’ve already said, it’s been awhile since Tennessee has come up with a ‘W’ in this series. You have to go back to 1995 to find the last regular season triumph. However, Denver hasn’t visited the Music City since 2004. It walked out a winner that day to the tune of 37-16. The Broncos have at least 34 on the board in each of their L/3 meetings with Tennessee, while the Titans have scored 20, 10, and 16 respectively in those three duels.

Sunday, October 3rd, 1:00 PM ET: Cincinnati Bengals @ Cleveland Browns
NFL Trends of Note
The Bengals are 1-13 ATS in their L/14 years in Week 4
Cincinnati is 3-8 ATS in its L/11 overall
The Browns are 8-1 ATS in their L/9 games played in October

Series History
These two teams simply don’t like each other a whole bunch. The Bengals might have won both games last year SU, but the Browns won the ATS war in each clash. The underdog has covered six straight overall. Four of the L/5 have stayed ‘under’ the number, while the ‘under’ is 8-3 in the L/11 meetings in the Dawg Pound. The Browns haven’t won a game here against Cincinnati since 2007 in that wild 51-45 game in which QB Derek Anderson threw five TD passes and RB Jamal Lewis rushed for 216 yards.

Sunday, October 3rd, 1:00 PM ET: San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons
NFL Trends of Note
The Niners are 1-7-1 ATS in their L/9 played in October
San Fran is 9-3-2 ATS in its L/14 against teams with a winning record
Atlanta is 7-2 ATS in its L/9 home games

Series History
Last year, Atlanta marched into AT&T Park and absolutely crippled the 49ers 45-10 as short underdogs. All of a sudden, San Fran badly needs to make amends for that. However, the Niners haven’t won a game in this series since these two teams were in the NFC West together, a stretch of three straight dating back to 2001. San Francisco also hasn’t scored more than 19 points in a game in this series since then. The Falcons are 5-3 ATS over the L/8 meetings.

Sunday, October 3rd, 1:00 PM ET: Seattle Seahawks @ St. Louis Rams
NFL Trends of Note
Seattle is 1-9 ATS in its L/10 on the road
St. Louis is 7-22 ATS in its L/29 against the NFC West
The Rams are 7-17 ATS in their L/24 against teams with a winning record

Series History
It’s been Seattle, Seattle, and more Seattle since 2005 in this series, as the Seahawks haven’t lost a game to the Rams in that stretch. Several of these games were absolute beat downs as well, as five of the L/9 have been decided by at least ten points. The Seahawks have covered six straight in this series and eight out of ten overall. Seattle has put at least 23 on the board in all ten clashes.

Sunday, October 3rd, 1:00 PM ET: Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers
NFL Trends of Note
The Ravens are 7-2-1 ATS in their L/10 as underdogs of a field goal or less
Baltimore is 22-10-1 ATS in its L/33 played on grass
The Steelers are 35-17-2 ATS in their L/54 games played in October

Series History
Even though you’d tend to believe that both of these teams are prone to ‘under’ games, it has been the ‘over’ that has cashed quite a bit. In fact, ‘over’ bettors are a whopping 6-1-1 in the L/8 meetings of these arch rivals. The home team has won six of the L/7, but Baltimore has been the one losing host and is just 2-5 in those seven. The Steelers are 3-0-1 ATS over their L/4 clashes, including already nearly winning one game with QB Dennis Dixon under center last year in Baltimore.

Sunday, October 3rd, 1:00 PM ET: New York Jets @ Buffalo Bills
NFL Trends of Note
The Jets are 2-10 ATS in their L/12 played in October
New York is 7-2 ATS in its L/9 against the AFC
Buffalo is 3-11 ATS in its L/14 home games

Series History
The underdog is a whopping 20-8 ATS over the L/28 meetings of these two AFC East rivals. An eight game winning streak for the pup ATS in this series came to a close last December when the Jets walked out of Ralph Wilson Stadium with a 19-13 win. The road team has won six of the L/8, with each team winning one road game. Both meetings last year stayed well ‘under’ the ‘total’, and there has only been one ‘over’ since 2006 (4-1-1).

Sunday, October 3rd, 4:05 PM ET: Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars
NFL Trends of Note
The Colts are 10-2 ATS in their L/12 played in October
Jacksonville is 7-25 ATS in its L/32 played on grass
The Jags are 4-14 ATS in their L/18 played at home

Series History
Indianapolis has always had some problems with the Jags, but over the L/5 years, this series has been cut fairly down the middle. The team split the SU and ATS proceedings in each of the L/4 years even though the Colts have only lost twice in that stretch. The Colts haven’t lost in Jacksonville since December 2006, including last year’s 35-31 victory, which marked the third straight trip here with at least 29 points scored.

Sunday, October 3rd, 4:05 PM ET: Houston Texans @ Oakland Raiders
NFL Trends of Note
Houston is 7-1 ATS in its L/8 years in Week 4
The Texans are 4-1 ATS in five meetings against the Raiders
Oakland is just 17-39-1 ATS in its L/57 home games

Series History
Last year, the Texans trounced the Raiders 29-6 at home to dominate the nine point spread. It was the first time in which a favorite even won a game SU in this series, let alone ATS, and if you would like, you can even include the one preseason matchup of these teams in there as well from 2005. Historically, this series is a very low scoring one, as no game has featured more than 47 points, while the L/2 have easily stayed ‘under’ the number.

Sunday, October 3rd, 4:15 PM ET: Arizona Cardinals @ San Diego Chargers
NFL Trends of Note
The Cards have won seven straight ATS in October
Arizona is 10-2 ATS in its L/12 as an underdog
The Bolts have covered five straight following an ATS defeat

Series History
There aren’t many regular season meetings between these two teams since the start of the 2000s in spite of the fact that it feels like they meet every year in the preseason. San Diego won 27-20 on New Year’s Eve 2006, but the Cards covered the 14 point NFL odds that day. In 2002, the Bolts won 23-15 in Tucson, while in 2001, Arizona trumped the Chargers here at Qualcomm Stadium 20-17 in a very similar looking game to the one that will be played on Sunday.

Sunday, October 3rd, 4:15 PM ET: Washington Redskins @ Philadelphia Eagles
NFL Trends of Note
The Skins are 4-1-3 ATS in their L/8 played on grass
Washington is 4-10-1 ATS in its L/15 played in October
The Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their L/5 in October

Series History
For whatever reason, Washington has seemed to have the Eagles’ number in spite of the fact that it has largely stunk in that stretch. The Eagles did win both games last year but only went 1-1 ATS with the ‘Skins covering here in the City of Brotherly Love. In fact, the last time that Philly covered a home game against Washington was back in 2006, a 27-3 victory. Since that point, the Redskins are 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS.

Sunday, October 3rd, 8:20 PM ET: Chicago Bears @ New York Giants
NFL Trends of Note
Chicago is 3-8 ATS in its L/11 road games
New York is 1-8 ATS in its L/9 against teams with a winning road record
The road team is 8-0 both SU and ATS in this series dating back to 1992

Series History
And if that isn’t a golden trend for Bears bettors, we don’t know what is! Chicago hasn’t lost a game in the Meadowlands since the 1980s and has won all of its meetings in the 1990s and 2000s by at least seven points. All four duels in the 1990s played past the ‘total’, but since that point, ‘under’ bettors are 3-2 and none of the three ‘unders’ got anywhere near the ‘total’.

Monday, September 27th, 8:30 PM ET: New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins
NFL Trends of Note
New England is just 2-6 ATS in its L/8 against the AFC East
The Dolphins are 8-2 ATS in their L/10 in division
Miami is 6-2 ATS in its L/8 played in October

Series History
Miami beat the Pats at home last year 22-21 for its fourth cover in the L/5 games in this series. Big time spreads are nothing new in this rivalry either, as the Dolphins have been double digit dogs four times just since 2007, including being a 22 point dog in Gillette Stadium in ’07. Both clashes last year stayed ‘under’ the ‘total’, which bucked the trend of three out of four ‘overs’ over the previous two years.

NFL Football Picks: Monday Night Football Props (9/27/10)

September 27th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Football Picks: Monday Night Football Props (9/27/10)
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There aren’t many undefeated teams left standing in the NFL world this year, but two of them will take center stage on Monday night when the Green Bay Packers duke it out with the Chicago Bears. Our NFL handicappers have the best props on the board that you should be looking at when getting ready to place NFL prop bets on this game!

Longest Touchdown Over/Under 44.5 Yards
We haven’t quite seen the cannon for QB Aaron Rodgers come out yet this year, but that doesn’t mean that he doesn’t have the capability of throwing a 45 yard TD pass. The Bears don’t have a ton of deep threats either, but any time that WR Devin Hester touches the ball, magic can happen. One of the big boys for the Packers could pull this feat off at any second as well, as Rodgers loves chucking the ball to both WR Donald Driver and WR Greg Jennings. Especially since both of these defenses love taking chances, we’re going to say that there is going to be a TD of Over 44.5 yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) more often than not in a battle of these two squads.

Aaron Rodgers Over/Under 20 Completions
This is a relatively simple prop that should not be overanalyzed. Rodgers simply doesn’t have a ground game to rely on, and HC Mike McCarthy knows it. Trying to run into the teeth of the Chicago defense generally isn’t that good of an idea either, as the combo of DT Tommy Harris and LB Brian Urlacher is there to munch any running back in their paths. Instead, Rodgers is going to be asked to use slip screens and short dump offs as if they were long handoffs in this game. That being said, we don’t see how he isn’t going to go Over 20 completions (-120 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Jermichael Finley Over/Under 4 Receptions
Finley is quickly becoming the security blanket that Rodgers uses when he can’t find either Driver or Jennings available down the field. This is emerging as one of the best tight ends in the game. Once again, if the Bears defense gets aggressive, Finley could be in for a big, big night. We don’t see how he won’t at least reach, and like end up going Over 4 Receptions (-130 at Hollywood Sportsbook) in this battle against the Bears.

Will Jay Cutler Throw an Interception?
This is just too easy to pass up! Cutler nearly reached the 30 INT mark last year, and now he’s going against a defense that is going to be in his face all night. Congrats to the Vandy grad for only throwing one INT in his first two games of the season. The fun and games are over tonight. Cutler Will throw an INT (-225 at Hollywood Sportsbook) in this game.

2010 NFL Trends: Week 3 Cheat Sheet

September 23rd, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2010 NFL Trends: Week 3 Cheat Sheet
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Week 3 of the NFL season is right around the corner! The handicapping experts of Bankroll Sports have key releases for you this weekend. Props and free picks will be available to you on our sports blog as well. However, to kick off this NFL betting week, we’re going to take a look at the most important NFL trends and matchup histories for the Week 3 NFL matchups.

Sunday, September 26th, 1:00 ET: Dallas Cowboys @ Houston Texans
NFL Trends of Note
-The Texans are 4-0-1 ATS in their L/5 played on grass
-Houston is 2-5 ATS it its L/7 Week 3 tussles
-The Cowboys are 5-11 ATS in their L/16 roadies

Series History
The Cowboys return to the scene of the crime where Houston won its first game in franchise history in 2002 19-10. Since then, the teams have only met once, with Dallas winning 34-6 at home in ’06. These squads met in the preseason this year at Reliant Stadium with the Texans winning 23-7 for their first ‘W’ in the exhibitions.

Sunday, September 26th, 1:00 PM ET: Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots
NFL Trends of Note
-Buffalo is 4-9 ATS in its L/13 against the AFC East
-New England is 22-8-1 ATS in its L/31 following an SU defeat
-The Pats are 7-3 ATS in their L/10 when scoring 15 or less in their previous game

Series History
This has been an awful series for Buffalo both SU and ATS of late. Thirteen straight times that these two teams have met, the Pats have been victorious, and they are a rock solid 6-1 ATS over their L/7 meetings. The road team is 8-2 ATS in the L/10, including last year when Buffalo nearly shocked New England in a 25-24 defeat here at Gillette Stadium.

Sunday, September 26th, 1:00 PM ET: Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints
NFL Trends of Note
-The Falcons are 9-4 ATS in their L/13 against the NFC
-New Orleans is 2-7 ATS in its L/9 against the NFC
-The Saints are 2-6 ATS in their L/8 as favorites

Series History
The Saints have won three straight in this series, but if you look at the NFL betting results last year, all signs point to the Falcons. Atlanta only lost 26-23 at home and 35-27 in the Louisiana Superdome to New Orleans, and we could be in for another close one. The winning team has posted at least 22 points in all ten meeting since 2005 between these two NFC South rivals.

Sunday, September 26th, 1:00 PM ET: Pittsburgh Steelers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
NFL Trends of Note
-The Steelers are 10-4-1 ATS in their L/15 against teams with a winning record
-The Bucs are 4-1 ATS in their L/5 following an SU win
-Tampa Bay is 9-4-1 ATS over the L/14 years in Week 3

Series History
These games haven’t been for the feint at heart in recent years. Dating back to 1998, these teams have met four times, with all four meetings being ugly, low scorers. The Bucs haven’t topped ten points against Pittsburgh since 1989 and is winless ATS since 1998. The Steelers haven’t scored more than 20 in a game in this series since ’89 either, but have covered three straight NFL spreads dating back to the turn of the millennium.

Sunday, September 26th, 1:00 PM ET: Tennessee Titans @ New York Giants
NFL Trends of Note
-The Titans have covered four straight in this series
-New York is 7-2 ATS in its L/9 on field turf
-The Giants are just 3-10 ATS in their L/13 overall

Series History
As we’ve already suggested, the Titans have been the dominating team in this series. They have four straight wins both SU and ATS under their belt, and they haven’t been beaten by the G-Men since they were the Houston Oilers and Warren Moon was quarterbacking the team. The last meeting came in 2006, with the Titans pulling out a 24-21 victory at home.

Sunday, September 26th, 1:00 PM ET: Detroit Lions @ Minnesota Vikings
NFL Trends of Note
-Detroit is 5-16 ATS in its L/21 on field turf
-The Vikes are 5-1-1 ATS in their L/6 home games
-Minnesota is 3-1-1 ATS over the L/5 years in Wk 3

Series History
Detroit has lost 12 straight times that it has come to Minnesota, and with Brett Favre and the Vikes at 0-2 this year already, that streak had better continue if the men in purple think they’re making the postseason. The Lions haven’t won a game since 2007 in this series, but the good news is that they have gone 2-1-1 ATS since 2008.

Sunday, September 26th, 1:00 PM ET: Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens
NFL Trends of Note
-The Browns are 7-2 ATS in their L/9 overall
-Cleveland is 8-3 ATS in its L/11 played in Wk 3
-The Ravens are 11-2 ATS in their L/13 against teams with a losing record

Series History
The old Cleveland Browns meet the new Cleveland Browns, and since these two franchises started battle against each other, it has been mostly one way traffic for the men in black and purple. The Ravens have four straight wins and covers in this series dating back to 2008, while Cleveland knows that it covered five straight in the series from ’06 to ’07 including a playoff tussle.

Sunday, September 26th, 1:00 PM ET: Cincinnati Bengals @ Carolina Panthers
NFL Trends of Note
-Rookie starting quarterbacks are 0-2 SU and ATS on the season
-The Bengals are 2-8 in their L/10 overall
-The Panthers are only 1-5 ATS including the preseason this year

Series History
The Bengals have never had any luck against the Panthers. This was the scene of the worst defensive effort in the history of Cincinnati football, as Carolina has a 52-31 win to its credit here. These two teams have only met three times, with Carolina owning a 2-0-1 ATS edge. The home team has won all three games, with the most recent performance being a 17-14 win for the Bengals over the Panthers in 2006 at Paul Brown Stadium.

Sunday, September 26th, 1:00 PM ET: San Francisco 49ers @ Kansas City Chiefs
NFL Trends of Note
-San Fran is 9-2-2 ATS in its L/13 against teams with a winning record
-The Niners are 13-6-4 ATS in their L/23 overall
-KC is 6-16 ATS in its L/22 at Arrowhead Stadium

Series History
KC has covered both meetings of these traditional old school powerhouses dating back to 2000. The Chiefs stomped San Fran 41-0 here at Arrowhead in ’06. The last regular season cover at Arrowhead Stadium for the 49ers dates back to the 1980s.

Sunday, September 26th, 4:05 PM ET: Philadelphia Eagles @ Jacksonville Jaguars
NFL Trends of Note
-The Eagles have covered four straight in Week 3
-Jacksonville has gone 5-1 ATS in its L/6 years in Week 3
-The Jags are 8-20 ATS in their L/28 overall

Series History
The poor Eagles haven’t stood a chance this series. This is the only team in the NFL that they have never beaten. Jacksonville is 3-0 SU and ATS against the Eagles (and even has two covers in the preseason for what it’s worth). The Jags have averaged scoring 26.3 points per game in this series, while the Eagles haven’t even reached that number once in three tries. This is the third all-time meeting between these squads at Jacksonville Municipal Stadium.

Sunday, September 26th, 4:05 PM ET: Washington Redskins @ St. Louis Rams
NFL Trends of Note
-The Skins are 2-6-1 ATS over the L/9 years in Week 3
-St. Louis is 9-21 ATS in its L/30 home games
-The Rams are 6-13 ATS in their L/19 on turf

Series History
The Rams, for whatever reason, have found a way to have Washington’s number in recent years. They nearly sprang the upset last year as ten point pups in Landover, losing 9-7, which marked their third straight cover in this series. The previous two outings were outright victories. St. Louis won on the road 19-17 as 12 point pups in ’08 and 37-31 in OT here at the Edward Jones Dome in 2006.

Sunday, September 26th, 4:15 PM ET: Oakland Raiders @ Arizona Cardinals
NFL Trends of Note
-The Raiders are winless in their L/6 following an SU victory
-Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its L/6 after an SU defeat
-The Cardinals are just 1-4 ATS in their L/5 in Week 3

Series History
Dating back to the beginning of the 2000s, this series has been short, but has belonged to Oakland. The Raiders are 2-0 SU and ATS, posting a 22-9 win in the Black Hole in 2006 and a 41-20 win in the desert in 2002. This is Oakland’s first visit to the relatively new University of Phoenix Stadium.

Sunday, September 26th, 4:15 PM ET: Indianapolis Colts @ Denver Broncos
NFL Trends of Note
-The Colts are 7-2 ATS in their L/9 on the road
-Indy is 9-3-1 ATS in its L/13 on grass
-The Broncos are just 9-21-1 ATS in their L/31 at home

Series History
The Colts just love running into Denver on the schedule. They are 3-0 SU and ATS since 2006 and have posted some absolutely huge wins over the Broncos in their time. Indy won 28-16 last year at home when these teams met and also have home victories of 38-20, 49-24, and 41-20 in recent years. The last trip to Mile High Stadium was a good one as well, as QB Peyton Manning and his band of merry men won 34-31 as short underdogs in 2006.

Sunday, September 26th, 4:15 PM ET: San Diego Chargers @ Seattle Seahawks
NFL Trends of Note
-The Chargers are 1-6 ATS in their L/7 following games in which they allowed 15 points or less
-San Diego is 5-2 ATS in its L/7 roadies
-The Seahawks are 3-10 ATS in their L/13 as underdogs

Series History
These two teams used to share a division together, but they have only met twice since Seattle moved to the NFC. The Seahawks lost 20-17 here at Qwest Field in 2006, but came away with a 31-28 overtime win at Qualcomm Stadium in 2002. The road team has won three straight outright in this series and is 2-1 ATS in those three.

Sunday, September 26th, 8:20 PM ET: New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins
NFL Trends of Note
-The Jets are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 against the AFC
-Miami is 8-1 ATS in its L/9 in division
-The Fins are 8-3 ATS in their L/11 in conference

Series History
These two teams hate each other. What was once a series that belonged to the Jets from the days of Jumbo Elliott catching TD passes has now flipped. Miami has won three straight over New York, all three of which have come as underdogs. The Jets weren’t defeated ATS from that point back through the mid 2000s. Miami’s only home win in this series since 2005 came last year, a 31-27 decision in the middle of October.

Monday, September 27th, 8:30 PM ET: Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears
NFL Trends of Note
-The Pack are 8-1-1 ATS in their L/10 on grass
-Green Bay is 10-3 ATS in its L/13 against the NFC North
-Chicago is just 1-7 ATS in its L/8 on natural grass

Series History
The Packers won both games last season and have covered four straight dating back to 2008. The last time the Bears covered a number against the Pack at home was in 2005, as Green Bay has really done a great job dominating the proceedings in this one. The road team won every game and covered every spread from December 2005 to October 2007 in this series.

NFL Football Picks: Monday Night Football Props (9/20/10)

September 19th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Football Picks: Monday Night Football Props (9/20/10)
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Last week, neither the New Orleans Saints nor the San Francisco 49ers looked all that sharp. The difference is, the Saints found a way to win, while the 49ers were absolutely embarrassed by the Seattle Seahawks. Will this week be any different? Our NFL handicappers take a look at the NFL props for our Monday Night Football picks!

Will Frank Gore Score a Touchdown?
Gore had an absolutely atrocious game last week trying to get going against the Seattle front seven. This week, he should find the sledding just a tad easier against a New Orleans defense that is still prone to giving up a ton of yards and a boatload of points. Unlike other situations in the NFL, there is no doubt who is getting the ball by the goal line for the Niners when they’re down close. The University of Miami grad is going to be a key in this game, and if he doesn’t find the end zone at least once, the 49ers aren’t going to stand a chance of winning this game. Don’t think that HC Mike Singletary doesn’t know that either. Go with Gore to Score a TD (+115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Monday night.

Vernon Davis Over/Under 60.5 Receiving Yards
There could be a very, very soft underbelly for the New Orleans Saints in the form of defending the tight end. Last week, TE Visanthe Shiancoe absolutely tore them up, and he was the only man that really had no defense against the Minnesota Vikings. This week, QB Alex Smith’s favorite target is going to be his tight end once again, as TE Vernon Davis is one of the most underrated players in the league at this point. Don’t be overly shocked to see him go absolutely bananas in this game, especially after having a solid start to the season last week. We’d be quite surprised if he didn’t get to Over 60.5 receiving yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Reggie Bush Over/Under 55.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
Last week, we didn’t get a huge look at what RB Reggie Bush could do against a very strong Minnesota front seven. This week, with the 49ers posing less of a challenge, there could be significantly more touches in store for the one time No. 2 pick in the NFL Draft. Bush would love a big game to silence his critics amongst all of this Heisman Trophy garbage from 2005. HC Sean Peyton knows that he really needs to put the ball in Bush’s hands at least ten times in this one, whether it be in the passing game or as a running back. If he does that, we’ll take our chances with Over 55.5 rushing and receiving yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

NFL Football Picks: Sunday Night Football Props (9/19/10)

September 19th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Football Picks: Sunday Night Football Props (9/19/10)
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When the Manning brothers take center stage on NBC’s Sunday Night Football, all of the eyes in the NFL betting world will be glued to the TV. Tonight is no exception, as the Indianapolis Colts and New York Giants will square off. Use our top NFL handicappers to cash in on these props for the game!

Longest Field Goal Over/Under 45.5 Yards
You have to have a field goal attempt of at least 46 yards before you can have a made one from that far away. We have absolutely no confidence in Giants’ K Lawrence Tynes, and it is becoming more and more apparent as the months go on that the Colts have no confidence in K Adam Vinetiari to kick the ball this far. Last week, head coach Jim Caldwell had a chance to kick a 49 yard field goal in the first half against the Houston Texans and instead eschewed the opportunity in favor of going for it on 4th and 8. And the oddsmakers think there is going to be a boot of 46 yards in this game at least half the time? We certainly don’t. Go with Under 45.5 yards (+100 at Hollywood Sportsbook) on Sunday night.

Total Sacks Over/Under 3.5
Last week, the offensive line for the Colts was atrocious against Houston, and though there are no pass rushers on the Giants that are worthy of being in the same discussion with DE Mario Williams, there is plenty of pressure to be had from men like DE Justin Tuck and DE Osi Umenyiora. The Colts are still going with a very young and very inexperienced offensive line, particularly at the tackle positions. We already know that DE Dwight Freeney and his band of men will have no problems getting after QB Eli Manning either on the other side of the ball. When push comes to shove, both teams should have at least a pair of sacks on the day, which gives us a great price on Over 3.5 sacks (+110 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Peyton Manning Over/Under 300.5 Passing Yards
Let’s be realistic here for a second. We know that QB Peyton Manning is good. In fact, he’s great. He’s a first ballot Hall of Famer, he might break every single passing record in the book when push comes to shove, and he is the best Indianapolis Colt in team history, and that’s saying a lot considering that Johnny Unitas is already calling me on Line 2. Still, is Manning really throwing for 5,000 yards this year? That’s what it’s going to take to beat this prop on a consistent enough basis for us to bet the over. Instead, let’s be realistic. Remember that last week when Manning completed 40 passes, his team was playing from behind the entire time, not from ahead. Inevitably, RB Joseph Addai will be more involved in the offense. We know that we’re playing with fire when we do this, but c’mon… Manning is going to stay (Under 300.5 passing yards -115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) more often than not.

Joseph Addai Over/Under 79.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
Let’s keep this one short and sweet. Addai only had ten carries last week, and he still accounted for 73 rushing and receiving yards. There isn’t another back on this team that is going to be stealing carries, and the temptation is going to be there for Manning to scale back just a tad after last week’s phenomenal performance. The former LSU Tiger badly needs a good game to help salvage his season, and we tend to believe that via pass and via rush, he’ll find a way to sneak Over 79.5 rushing and receiving yards(-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) in this one against the G-Men.