Posts Tagged ‘pro football trends’

2010 NFL Trends: Week 2 Cheat Sheet

September 16th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on 2010 NFL Trends: Week 2 Cheat Sheet
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Week 2 of the NFL season is right around the corner! The handicapping experts of Bankroll Sports have key releases for you this weekend. Props and free picks will be available to you on our sports blog as well. However, to kick off this NFL betting week, we’re going to take a look at the most important NFL trends and matchup histories for the Week 2 NFL matchups.

Sunday, September 19th, 1:00 ET: Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers
NFL Trends of Note
-The Bucs are just 5-16 ATS in their L/21 on grass
-Carolina is 8-1 ATS in its L/9 vs. the NFC
-Rookie starting QBs are already 0-1 SU and ATS this season

Series History
The Bucs haven’t beaten the Panthers either SU or ATS since the first meeting of these two rivals in 2008. Carolina hasn’t been swept by Tampa Bay in a number of years, and the Bucs haven’t taken a duel on Tobacco Road since September 2007.

Sunday, September 19th, 1:00 PM ET: Pittsburgh Steelers @ Tennessee Titans
NFL Trends of Note
-Pittsburgh is just 2-8-1 ATS over the L/11 years in Week 2
-Tennessee is 3-7 ATS over the L/10 years in Week 2
-The Steelers are 5-1 ATS in their L/6 overall

Series History
These two teams flat out don’t like each other. They have met quite a bit in the playoffs and in the regular season in recent years, and the battles have, for the most part, gone to the home team. The host has won seven of the L/9 in this series with one road win coming for each team since that point as well. Pittsburgh won last year’s battle 13-10 in overtime in Steeltown by lost 31-14 the last time it played at LP Field.

Sunday, September 19th, 1:00 PM ET: Buffalo Bills @ Green Bay Packers
NFL Trends of Note
-The Bills are 12-3 ATS in their L/15 tries in Week 2
-Buffalo is 8-3 ATS in its L/11 road games
-The Packers are 8-1-1 ATS in their L/10 overall

Series History
Buffalo hasn’t visited Green Bay since 2002 and hasn’t scored a point there since 1997. The home team has won every game in this series dating back to 1991, which was the last time the Bills won a game in Lambeau Field. Buffalo is also 7-3 ATS over the L/10 meetings dating back to 1988 between these squads.

Sunday, September 19th, 1:00 PM ET: Kansas City Chiefs @ Cleveland Browns
NFL Trends of Note
-The Chiefs have covered five of their L/6 road games
-Cleveland is 6-0 ATS in its L/6 against the AFC
-The Browns are winless in their L/4 games ATS in September

Series History
Classics certainly don’t describe the games these teams have played in their histories. The Brownies have been all over the Chiefs since 2003, going 4-0 SU and ATS against them. Cleveland holds a 4-2 SU and ATS advantage all-time. The winning score in this series has been at least 31 points in four of the six meetings.

Sunday, September 19th, 1:00 PM ET: Arizona Cardinals @ Atlanta Falcons
NFL Trends of Note
-Arizona is just 7-22 ATS in its L/29 road games against teams with a losing home record
-The Falcons are a perfect 8-0 ATS in their L/8 following a game in which they held their opponent to 14 points or less
-Atlanta is 13-3 ATS in its L/16 following an SU defeat

Series History
The home team has won four straight and nine out of ten between these two teams in the regular season, but the key NFL trend to watch here in on the ‘over’. Three straight and seven of the L/8 have eclipsed the number, as the home team has scored at least 30 points in three straight and at least 29 in eight of the L/9.

Sunday, September 19th, 1:00 PM ET: Philadelphia Eagles @ Detroit Lions
NFL Trends of Note
-The Eagles are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 against teams with a losing record
-Detroit is 2-6-2 ATS in its L/10 against the NFC
-The Lions are 3-7-2 ATS in their L/12 overall

Series History
These two teams have only met five times since 1986, with Philly winning all five both SU and ATS. The Lions have been beaten by at least 17 in three of the five games and by at least three TDs twice in that stretch. Philly has averaged 35.6 PPG in its L/5 against the Lions. This is only Philadelphia’s second trip to the Motor City since the 1980s (30-13 ‘W’ in 2004).

Sunday, September 19th, 1:00 PM ET: Chicago Bears @ Dallas Cowboys
NFL Trends of Note
-The Bears are 2-8 ATS in their L/10 overall
-Chicago is 2-8 ATS in its L/10 against the NFC
-Dallas is a rock solid 6-2 its L/8 home games

Series History
Chicago hasn’t beaten the Cowboys since 1998 and hasn’t beaten them in “Big D” since 1986 when they were still Super Bowl shuffling! Dallas owns a 5-2 ATS advantage between these conference foes since 1988. Seven of the L/9 have failed to exceed the ‘total’, as the losing team hasn’t scored more than 14 points in a game in this series since the early 1980s.

Sunday, September 19th, 1:00 PM ET: Miami Dolphins @ Minnesota Vikings
NFL Trends of Note
-The Fins are 6-1 ATS in their L/7 away from South Beach
-Miami is 11-25-1 ATS in its L/37 against teams with a losing record
-The Vikes are 5-0-1 ATS in their L/6 played at home

Series History
There certainly isn’t much of a history between these two teams, but the history that exists is all in favor of the home team. Miami won in 2006 24-20 when these teams collided in the Sunshine State, but Minnesota upset the Fins 20-17 at home in 2002. The only road win since the 1980s of these teams owns to Minnesota, which won 20-7 in 2001.

Sunday, September 19th, 1:00 PM ET: Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals
NFL Trends of Note
-Baltimore is 11-1 ATS in its L/12 against teams with a losing record
-Cincinnati is 7-3 ATS in its L/10 against teams with a winning record
-The Bengals are 8-3 ATS in their L/11 against the Ravens

Series History
Last season, the Bengals were underdogs in both games in this season series and won both outright. Baltimore swept the season series in ’08, but before that, it was all Cincy. The Bengals, for whatever reason, love playing the Ravens, as they have a better record against the purple and black since ’05 than against any other team in the AFC North.

Sunday, September 19th, 4:05 PM ET: Seattle Seahawks @ Denver Broncos
NFL Trends of Note
-Seattle is just 1-8 ATS in its L/9 road games
-The Seahawks are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 against teams with a losing record
-Denver is only 8-21-1 ATS in its L/30 games at Invesco Field at Mile High Stadium

Series History
These two teams used to share a division together, but since splitting up, the only meeting was a 23-20 win for the Seahawks on the road here in the Mile High City. The home team won three of the four between 2000 and 2001 before the Seahawks switched over to the NFC.

Sunday, September 19th, 4:05 PM ET: St. Louis Rams @ Oakland Raiders
NFL Trends of Note
-St. Louis is 2-8 ATS in its L/10 games on grass
-The Raiders are 16-38-1 ATS in their L/55 against teams with a losing record
-Oakland is just 17-38-1 ATS in its L/56 at Oakland Alameda County Coliseum

Series History
The Rams posted a shutout over the Raiders in their last meeting in 2006 (20-0). Oakland hasn’t traveled to St. Louis since 2002 and hasn’t beaten the Rams since 1997. St. Louis is 3-0 ATS against the Raiders in the 2000s.

Sunday, September 19th, 4:15 PM ET: New England Patriots @ New York Jets
NFL Trends of Note
-New England is 6-2 ATS in its L/8 played in Week 2
-The Jets are 7-3 ATS in their L/10 overall
-The Pats are 10-4-1 ATS in the L/15 against the Jets

Series History
More bad news for the men in green… The road team is 19-7-1 ATS over the L/27 in this series. The Jets could be in some serious trouble if they don’t come up with an upset like they did last year in this same week of the season against the Pats. New England has won seven of the L/10 in this series SU and six of the ten ATS.

Sunday, September 19th, 4:15 PM ET: Jacksonville Jaguars @ San Diego Chargers
NFL Trends of Note
-Jacksonville is 7-23 ATS in its L/30 played on grass
-The Jags are 8-20 ATS in their L/28 against teams with a losing record
-San Diego is 19-93 ATS in its L/31 games following an SU loss

Series History
These teams have only met three times since the Jags have been in existence, and it’s been all one way traffic for the home team. Jacksonville won the last meeting 24-17 in 2007, but the home team is 3-0 SU and ATS. The favorite is also 2-1 SU and ATS, with the only upset belonging to the 2004 Chargers, who upset Jacksonville 34-21.

Sunday, September 19th, 4:15 PM ET: Houston Texans @ Washington Redskins
NFL Trends of Note
-The Texans are 5-2-2 ATS in their L/9 against teams with a winning record
-Washington is 6-2-1 ATS in its L/9 overall
-Houston is just 2-8 ATS in its L/10 against teams with a winning home record

Series History
This will only be the third meeting ever between these two teams. This is one of the few teams that the Texans have never beaten. Houston lost 31-15 at home to the ‘Skins in 2006 and was dropped 26-10 in its inaugural season in 2002 in its lone visit to Landover.

Sunday, September 19th, 8:20 PM ET: New York Giants @ Indianapolis Colts
NFL Trends of Note
-The Giants are 7-1 ATS in their L/8 games on field turf
-The G-Men are 3-9 ATS in their L/12 overall
-New York is 23-8 ATS in its L/31 road games

Series History
Manning Bowl I went to the elder Manning, as Peyton’s boys pummeled the G-Men 26-21 in 2006. This is Eli’s first visit to Peyton’s Place. The road team is 3-0 both SU and ATS in this series dating back to 1999. New York holds a 3-2 ATS and SU edge since 1990.

Monday, September 13th, 8:30 PM ET: New Orleans Saints @ San Francisco 49ers
NFL Trends of Note
-The Saints are 7-1-1 ATS in their L/9 games on grass
-San Fran is 8-2-2 ATS in its L/12 against teams with a winning record
-The Niners are 16-5 ATS in their L/21 Monday Night Football betting clashes

Series History
The Saints are a rock solid 10-2 ATS in their L/12 against San Fran, which could be bad news for the already 0-1 Niners. New Orleans hasn’t lost a game in this series since 2002 in the postseason, and hasn’t dropped a regular season duel since 2001.

NFL Football Picks: Monday Night Football Prop Picks (9/13/10)

September 13th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Football Picks: Monday Night Football Prop Picks (9/13/10)
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NFL football betting fans will get their first taste of Monday Night Football action tonight! The Kansas City Chiefs will take on the San Diego Chargers in the nightcap, but in the main course, the Baltimore Ravens will face the New York Jets. Check out these prop picks for the first Monday of the year.

Ray Rice Over 80.5 Yards
Even though the Ravens are probably going to have more of a chance of focusing in on the passing game now that WR TJ Houshmanzadeh and WR Anquan Boldin are in the fray, that doesn’t mean that Rice isn’t going to be a dominating force this year. Without DL Calvin Pace in the lineup, the big boys up front are going to be thinner than normal for the Jets. Conventional wisdom suggests that New York, who had one of the best rush defenses in the NFL last year, would be able to shut Rice down. We tend to think otherwise. Rice Over 80.5 yards carries (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook) is the choice for this prop.

Will Mark Sanchez Throw a TD or INT First?
The oddsmakers did a nice job making this line to try to throw you off. On one hand, it is clear that Sanchez threw more INTs than TDs last year. On the other, Baltimore is going to be crushed in the secondary with injuries. However, we still look at a guy like Ed Reed and the depth in that front seven and wonder how Sanchez is going to be finding ways to find the end zone either on the ground or through the air. That being said, the only team that can pressure a quarterback more than Baltimore might be the team on the other side of the field. If the Ravens can get to Sanchez as we expect, especially right up the middle in what could be a relatively shaky center of the Jets offensive line, Sanchez could be prone to multiple INTs in this one. Go with Sanchez to throw an INT first (-110 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Longest TD of the Game Over/Under 43.5 Yards
Neither one of these offenses has the same type of firepower that they did last year on offense in terms of explosive plays, but that doesn’t mean that we don’t think there will be a long touchdown at any point over the course of this game. Remember that we have both special teams and defensive tuddies that count in here as well. Javier Arenas is going to want to make a great impression on his new team on kick and punt returns, and he was one of the most prolific returners in the history of college football. LaDainian Tomlinson is gone, but both RBs Ryan Mathews and Darren Sproles are potential home run hitters for the Bolts. We also know that new OC Charlie Weis is going to do the best he can to stretch the field and get some confidence in a relatively weak crop of receivers. We already know that his QB Matt Cassel certainly has the arm to make this work. At some point, there is bound to be at least one score that goes Over 43.5 yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

Antonio Gates Over/Under 74.5 Receiving Yards
The bottom line here is that QB Philip Rivers is just more comfortable throwing the ball to his massive tight end than he is anywhere else, especially with WR Vincent Jackson still holding out. Yes, there will be plenty of dump offs to Mathews and Sproles out of the backfield, and WR Malcom Floyd might be in for a big day as well, but unless the Chiefs are going to use Eric Berry to shadow Gates the entire game, there could be a ton of holes in the middle of this defense. Look for HC Norv Turner to find ways to get Gates in some open space, even if that means lining him up at wide receiver from time to time. He’ll get at least ten looks in this game, and if that’s the case, he’ll come down with at least seven of the ten and easily fly past this number. Gates will well exceed Over 74.5 yards (-115 at Hollywood Sportsbook).

NFL Football Picks: Week 1 NFL Cheat Sheet

September 9th, 2010 by Adam Markowitz (Bankroll Sports Columnist) | Posted in NFL Football   Comments Off on NFL Football Picks: Week 1 NFL Cheat Sheet
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On Thursday night, the NFL betting campaign finally kicks off! After months of waiting to finish celebrating, the New Orleans Saints will get to raise their banners from their first ever championship on Thursday at the Louisiana Superdome, and that is the first of 16 games to be played from then through Monday night. Check out the trends that you need to know before making your NFL picks for Week 1 of the season!

Thursday, September 9th, 8:30 PM ET: Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints
Trends of Note
-Minnesota is 6-2 ATS in its L/8 games played in Week 1
-The Vikes are 7-3-1 ATS in their L/11 games overall
-New Orleans is just 2-5 ATS in its L/7 games at home

Series History
The Vikings saw their four game winning streak in this series against the Saints come to a close last year in the NFC Championship Game. Still, there was no shame in losing 31-28, as the defeat was good enough to cover the four point spread. That marked the fifth straight cover for the Vikes in this series. The Vikings had covered and won their three previous trips to the Bayou before the NFC title game in January.

Sunday, September 12th, 1:00 PM ET: Carolina Panthers @ New York Giants
Trends of Note
-The Giants are just 2-7 ATS in their L/9 games played in conference
-New York is only 2-9 ATS in its L/11 overall
-The Panthers have covered eight straight NFL spreads against the NFC

Series History
This is going to be the third straight time that the Panthers and Giants have met up in the Big Apple, as New York hasn’t made a trip to Carolina since 2006. These two teams met last December, with the Panthers issuing a huge 41-9 beat down on the hosts. The road team is 3-1 both SU and ATS over their L/4 meetings, not including preseason clashes.

Sunday, September 12th, 1:00 PM ET: Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills
Trends of Note
-Miami is 7-1 ATS in its L/8 against the AFC East
-Buffalo is only 3-10 ATS in its L/13 games at Ralph Wilson Stadium
-The Bills are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 September clashes

Series History
The Bills have dominated this series of late, going 8-3-1 ATS over the L/12 NFL betting affairs with the Fins. Miami did win and cover three straight from the end of ’08 til the beginning of ’09, but Buffalo scored a 31-14 victory in this fixture last November. The previous trip to Buffalo resulted in a 16-3 win for the Dolphins, but they have not historically played well at all in Orchard Park.

Sunday, September 12th, 1:00 PM ET: Atlanta Falcons @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Trends of Note
-The Falcons have covered ten of their L/12 opening games to start the season
-Pittsburgh is 0-6 ATS in its L/6 September NFL betting duels
-Pittsburgh is 0-3-1 ATS in its L/4 games at Heinz Field

Series History
These two teams have only met twice since 2000, and my, were both shootouts! The Falcons covered both spreads as underdogs, winning 41-38 in overtime in 2006. 2002’s 34-34 duel in Pittsburgh, the last time these two teams met here, was a classic game. Atlanta hasn’t been favored in a game in this series like it is now since 1993.

Sunday, September 12th, 1:00 PM ET: Detroit Lions @ Chicago Bears
Trends of Note
-The Lions are just 1-5-2 ATS in their L/8 games played away from Ford Field
-Detroit is only 8-20-2 ATS in its L/30 games against the NFC
-Chicago is 2-7 ATS in its L/9 games overall

Series History
These black and blue division rivals hate each other, to say the least. The underdog has gone a solid 15-7 ATS over the L/11 years of meetings of these foes. The Bears have won four straight dating back to 2007 against Detroit, but they can’t feel confident having gone just 3-4 ATS over their L/7 meetings.

Sunday, September 12th, 1:00 PM ET: Indianapolis Colts
Trends of Note
-Indy is 7-1 ATS in its L/8 road games
-The Colts are 12-5-1 ATS in their L/18 games overall
-Houston is just 1-5 ATS in its L/6 games played in Week 1

Series History
Houston has never been favored in a game in this series, and this is as close as it has ever come to being such. The Texans only have one lifetime win against QB Peyton Manning and the Colts from 2006, a 27-24 victory on Christmas Eve. Still, they are a solid 4-3 ATS since that win in ’06 and should be considered a very dangerous foe in Week 1 for the defending AFC champs.

Sunday, September 12th, 1:00 PM ET: Cleveland Browns @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Trends of Note
-Cleveland is only 1-9-1 ATS in its L/11 opening games in the NFL betting campaign
-Tampa Bay is just 1-10 ATS in its L/11 home games
-The Bucs are 5-16 ATS in their L/21 games played on grass

Series History
There have only been two all-time meetings of these teams in the regular season, and the Bucs have proven triumphant both times both SU and ATS. Tampa Bay sprung a 22-7 upset in 2006 as 3.5 point underdogs and won 17-3 against a seven point spread in 2002.

Sunday, September 12th, 1:00 PM ET: Cincinnati Bengals @ New England Patriots
Trends of Note
-The Bengals are 11-5 ATS in their L/16 games played in September
-Cincinnati is 1-5 ATS in its L/6 games in conference

Series History
The Pats are a hard team to put an ATS read on, but one thing is for certain, and that’s that they have dominated Cincinnati in recent years. Dating back to 2001, the Bengals are winless SU (0-3) and are just 1-2 ATS, needing a 10.5 point boost in 2004 to stick in front of the number. The Patriots have scored at least 34 points in all three meetings as well.

Sunday, September 12th, 1:00 PM ET: Oakland Raiders @ Tennessee Titans
Trends of Note
-The Raiders are only 1-4 ATS in their L/5 Week 1 contests
-On the contrary, Tennessee is 6-2 ATS in its L/8 played in Week 1
-The Titans are 9-2 ATS in their L/11 games played in September

Series History
Oakland has been the dominant team in this series in recent years, winning games outright against the Titans in 2004 (40-35) and 2005 (34-25). The silver and black came up just a tad short in 2007, losing 13-9, but they had the seven point spread covered the whole way. The Raiders are 5-1 ATS dating back to 2001 against the Titans.

Sunday, September 12th, 1:00 PM ET: Denver Broncos @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Trends of Note
-The Broncos are 7-3 ATS in their L/10 games played in Week 1
-Jacksonville is 9-2 ATS in its L/11 opening contests of the year
-The Jags are just 3-13 ATS in their L/16 played at Jacksonville Municipal Stadium

Series History
The Jags have gone into Mile High and walked out victories in each of their L/2 visits in 2007 and 2008. The road team has won three straight both SU and ATS. Pups have actually scored four straight outright wins, including Jacksonville’s 7-6 win in September 2004.

Sunday, September 12th, 4:15 PM ET: San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks
Trends of Note
-The Niners are a rock solid 12-5-4 ATS in their L/21 NFL wagering wars
-San Fran is 7-3 ATS in its L/10 against the NFC
-Seattle is 7-3-1 in its L/11 tussles at Qwest Field

Series History
The home team covered the spread and won outright in both meetings last year of these divisional foes. The two teams have alternated wins and covers in this series in each of the L/5, insinuating that it would be San Fran’s turn to shine. This is historically a lower scoring series as well, as six of the L/8 have stayed ‘under’ the number.

Sunday, September 12th, 4:15 PM ET: Arizona Cardinals @ St. Louis Rams
Trends of Note
-The last time a rookie starting quarterback that began the season lost his first start at home was in 1993 (Drew Bledsoe)
-The Cards are 9-4 ATS in their L/13 divisional games
-The Rams are 1-8-1 ATS in their L/10 opening games of the year

Series History
It’s been all one way traffic for Arizona since the Greatest Show on Turf was broken up. The Cards have won seven straight with the Rams dating back to 2006, and they are 5-2 ATS to show for it. St. Louis hasn’t broken 20 points in a game in this rivalry in its L/5 tries.

Sunday, September 12th, 4:15 PM ET: San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks
Trends of Note
-The Niners are a rock solid 12-5-4 ATS in their L/21 NFL wagering wars
-San Fran is 7-3 ATS in its L/10 against the NFC
-Seattle is 7-3-1 in its L/11 tussles at Qwest Field

Series History
The home team covered the spread and won outright in both meetings last year of these divisional foes. The two teams have alternated wins and covers in this series in each of the L/5, insinuating that it would be San Fran’s turn to shine. This is historically a lower scoring series as well, as six of the L/8 have stayed ‘under’ the number.

Sunday, September 12th, 4:15 PM ET: Green Bay Packers @ Philadelphia Eagles
Trends of Note
-The Packers are 7-1-1 ATS in their L/9 overall
-Green Bay is 20-8-1 ATS in its L/9 games played away from Lambeau Field
-Philly is 5-2 ATS in its L/7 pro football betting affairs in September

Series History
Though the Packers won the most recent meeting of these two teams in 2007 both SU and ATS, they would probably rather forget that the Eagles ever existed. The Pack are just 2-7 ATS over the L/9 duels of these conference foes, and they haven’t won a game in the City of Brotherly Love since the 1980s, covering just one spread since then as well. The home team has won five straight SU and four straight ATS.

Sunday, September 12th, 8:20 PM ET: Dallas Cowboys @ Washington Redskins
Trends of Note
-The Redskins are 3-11 ATS in their L/14 contests played in Landover
-Washington is 5-2-1 ATS in its L/8 overall
-The Cowboys have started the year off well, going 4-1 ATS in their L/5 Week 1s

Series History
You might not find two teams that hate each other more than these two. Dating back to 2005, the Redskins are 7-3 ATS in spite of the fact that they are only 5-5 SU. In fact, the underdog has done quite well, going 19-7 ATS over the L/26 between these divisional foes. The ‘under’ cashed in both meetings last year and in three straight overall.

Monday, September 13th, 7:00 PM ET: Baltimore Ravens @ New York Jets
Trends of Note
-The Ravens have covered six straight spreads in September
-The Jets are 5-1 ATS in their L/6 against the AFC
-New York is 5-2-1 ATS in its L/8 games played in Week 1

Series History
Baltimore keeps on finding a way to get the best of the Jets, but Rex Ryan can say that he is dominant in this series if he beats his former team on Monday night. Baltimore has won three straight SU and is 2-1 ATS against the Jets in the L/3 meetings.

Monday, September 13th, 10:15 PM ET: San Diego Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs
Trends of Note
-The Chargers are an amazing 24-10-4 ATS in their L/38 games against the AFC West
-Kansas City is just 7-18-1 ATS in its L/26 home games
-The Chiefs are only 1-5 ATS in their L/6 games played in September

Series History
San Diego has trampled the Chiefs a number of times since becoming the dominant team in this division, including victories of 43-14 and 37-7 last year. The Bolts have won five straight in this series, but dating back to the end of 2005, Kansas City owns a 5-4 ATS lead.